Monday, December 7, 2015

THE UNHOLY ALLIANCE OF PROMOTERS AND GOVERNMENT

From Business World of 24 January 2005.


Foreign investment


The policy on foreign investment was a 2X2 matrix. There were priority industries, and others; and there was foreign investment below 40 per cent and above. In priority industries, all foreign investment required government permission; in non-priority industries, it required permission only if it exceeded 40 per cent, the rest being with the promoter, government financial institutions or the public. In any case, control had to be in Indian hands. Not only were foreign subsidiaries not allowed, but the Foreign Exchange Regulation Act of 1973 tried to make their parents sell them off to Indians. The policy, in short, was “Indians in the saddle”.
In 1991, an inconsistency developed between the serious balance of payments crisis and a policy of keeping out foreign investment. So a number of policy changes were made. First, industrial licensing was abolished; investment required permission only six strategic industries. That implied that foreign investment policy could no longer be an offshoot of industrial licensing, but had to be separately formulated. The magic figure of 40 per cent was replaced by three – 26, 49 and 74 per cent; these three were set as limits of foreign investment. The idea was that at 26 per cent the foreign partner would get a seat on the board of directors, at 49 per cent the Indian partner would be in the driving seat, and at 74 per cent the Indian would get a place on the board.
The government did not prohibit foreign investment over the prescribed limits. It said that anyone who wanted to exceed the limits had to get the permission, not of the Directorate General of Technical Development in the Ministry of Industry as before, but of the Foreign Investment Promotion Board. This board was located in the Prime Minister’s Office and headed by the inimitable Principal Private Secretary Amar Nath Varma, and consisted of secretaries of the relevant ministries. It always took decisions within three weeks of submission of an application; and unless there were good grounds, it allowed higher percentages of foreign stake. It allowed the foreign companies whom FERA had deprived of majority in their subsidiaries to resume majority; and in general, its attitude towards foreign investment was positive. It did much to attenuate the prejudice abroad against India.
There were powerful Indian industrialists then who were very protective of monopoly positions they had built up under controls, and who abominated the idea of foreigners coming and upsetting their apple cart. Could there be a way of attracting foreign investment without rousing their fears and inviting their wrath? One was found: foreign portfolio investment was allowed up to 20 per cent of a company’s equity, as long as no single foreign entity owned more than 5 per cent.
The BJP made three changes to this policy framework it inherited. First, it played around with the investment limits of 26, 49 and 74 per cent. It thus gave a signal that it was open to deals, which no doubt benefited it as well as those who asked for changes in limits. Second, it gave Indian industrialists a perpetual veto on investment in other ventures by their foreign ex-partners; that was the notorious Press Note 18. Finally, it relaxed the portfolio investment policy: Indian companies could decide for themselves up to what proportion they wanted to allow foreign portfolio investment.
This discretionary and pro-promoter regime brought considerable prosperity to the BJP; money was one thing it was not short of in the general election last year. And it went far to remove the Indian promoters’ fear of foreign competitors’ entry into India. But the BJP did one more thing. It made share buyback by companies legitimate. The result was that promoters could use the reserves of companies to consolidate their control over the companies. And since foreign portfolio investors are permitted to invest on the condition that they do not influence the management of the company, promoters of most major companies have become immune to shareholder influence. In other words, the management of Indian companies is not contestable; the only way the management can change is if the promoter decides to sell out.

Thus the BJP, in its effort to protect the Indian industrialist against foreign competitors, unwittingly made the Indian shareholder hostage to the promoter. If the promoter is competent, he will serve the shareholder well. If he is old, or stupid, or is quarrelling with his brother, he will serve the shareholder ill. Is it any surprise that the Indian shareholder is not investing in Indian companies?