Thursday, December 10, 2015

WHY MITTAL PAID SO MUCH FOR ARCELOR

FROM BUSINESS WORLD OF 26 JUNE 2006


An Indian abducts a Martian


When Lakshmi Mittal made a hostile bid for Arcelor in January, he made powerful enemies. The foremost was Guy Dollé, Arcelor’s patron – to use the French term – the man who joined Usinor of France in 1980 and orchestrated its merger in 2002 with  Aceralia of Spain and Arbed of Luxembourg to create the world’s biggest steel producer. According to him, Mittal Steel and Arcelor belonged to different planets: he did not have a son on Arcelor’s board. Arcelor made perfume while Mittal made eau de cologne. Mittal wanted to pay for Arcelor in monkey money – Dollé’s term for shares of Mittal Steel. Behind Dollé were ranged Thierry Breton and Jeannot Krecké, the economic ministers of France and Luxembourg respectively, who announced their intention to change laws to stop Mittal. Behind Mittal stood Kamal Nath, India’s commerce minister, who appeared neither to have any business to interfere nor any fire power to contribute. Initially at any rate, Dollé seemed set to win the game, set and match.
In the sequel, Dollé is about the only one who lost out; in the dispensation that emerges, he and his board of directors have been booted out. Why did he suffer such a comprehensive defeat? It was because his counter-move misfired. He worked out a deal which would have given Alexei Mordashov 32 per cent of Arcelor’s equity, rising later to 38 per cent. In theory, this would have been in exchange for the equity of Severstal, Mordashov’s Russian steel company, which had assets of €13 billion on its books. But his accounts were suspect; outsiders put the value closer to €10 billion. Mordashov did not want to pay any cash. So to oblige him, Arcelor was to reduce its share capital through a share buy-back, financed by a bank loan of €4.8 billion. If Mittal’s was monkey money, Mordashov’s was donkey money. And for it he would have got two of the four seats on a proposed steering committee, and thereby a veto on all Arcelor’s decisions.
Why did Dollé choose such an unattractive bridegroom? The only explanation that makes sense is that after the merger, the resulting company would have been so offputting that Mittal would have lost interest in it. The only problem with such a strategy was that the proposed merger was anathema not only to Mittal but to Arcelor’s best friends. Luxembourg was loth to hand over control over its crown jewel to a Russian wheeler dealer. The Walloon government in Belgium, which held some shares in Arcelor, veered over to the view that Mittal was the lesser evil. Mittal’s offer had been vigorously opposed by ABVV, the Arcelor trade union. But Herwig Jorissen, its chief, had horrifying reports from steelworkers in Severstal. He thought a takeover by Mordashov would be a disaster. One by one, all Dollé’s allies abandoned him and jumped on the Mittal bandwagon.
Not that Mittal justed waited for them to jump. He mounted a strident campaign against the merger of Arcelor with Severstal. He approached all the major shareholders. He took out full-page advertisements in major newspapers; he printed the Arcelor proxy form in them, and asked shareholders to cut it out and send it to Arcelor rejecting the merger. And in negotiations with Arcelor, he raised his offer to € 40.37 a share. Initially he had made an offer which was 26 per cent above market price. He later improved that offer by 34 per cent; in other words, he is now offering a 70 per cent premium on the mid-January price of Arcelor shares. Earlier he wanted a majority in the merged company; now he is reported to be ready to take 43 per cent. Mittal Steel is essentially a family company; Arcelor Mittal will have a majority of independent directors. The exact figures may be somewhat different in the deal that emerges; but to acquire Arcelor, Mittal has given up the core values of his company – those that the Europeans considered peculiarly Indian and unacceptable.

Why did he pay such a high price? For the monopoly power. He has himself said that he wanted to consolidate the steel industry. The world has few substantial sources of coal and iron ore, and the companies that control them squeeze steel companies. Mittal wants to equalize his bargaining power with the coal and ore companies. And steel is a bulky product; a large company has control over local markets. These gains in market power will make the high price of Arcelor worth while.