Wednesday, December 9, 2015

MARAN'S ONEINDIA IS A BAD IDEA

FROM BUSINESS WORLD OF 11 FEBRUARY 2006


Shortsighted & ill conceived


Blessed by inviting bars and beautiful beaches, Goans do not have to toil in open. Travellers from all over the world seek out the verdant state; their money has made Goans rich. So all arduous or unpleasant work is done by migrants. As someone visiting Goa’s newer settlements learns as he endlessly waits outside one of its public call offices, Tamil is the lingua franca of its construction workers. They have close ties with their kith and kin across the Nilgiris, and they have much to tell them. No wonder they spend heavily on trunk calls. It must be some people such as they whom the minister of telecommunications must have had in mind when he thought of his OneIndia plan. Far away from home, labouring in the sun, they would invite anybody’s sympathy. The telecommunications minister cannot give them free food or bars of soap; all he could give them was cheap calls home. And so he has.
But while he was doing them a favour, why did he not go all the way, and make domestic long-distance calls free? That is the utmost he could have done for them – unless he was to ask Bharatiya Sanchar Nigam Limited (BSNL), the public enterprise at his command, to give everyone a prize whenever he made a trunk call. Why stop at a Rupee? The minister could have been more generous. After all, it is not his money. The whole point of being a minister is to spend others’ money for one’s own political benefit.
But money does not grow on trees. If BSNL charges less for trunk calls, it must earn less. What is good for the migrant worker is not good for BSNL. That is why Dayanidhi Maran took a year and a half to realize his dream of OneIndia: his satraps vehemently resisted the idea. As it was, BSNL was charging too little for the landline connections it was giving out, and was making losses on them. Now it would bleed on trunk calls as well.
But for the losses on land lines, the ministry had already worked out a solution: it was making private telecom operators pay for them. It had forced – let us say, forcefully persuaded – Telecom Regulatory Authority of India to impose a tax on international calls. So those trunk callers whose calls crossed borders subsidized those lucky landline customers of BSNL. No doubt some further persuasion will force BSNL’s private competitors to finance its losses on trunk calls.
That is the first thing that is wrong with OneIndia. It worsens BSNL’s finances and its ability to compete with such strong rivals as Bharti and Reliance. The minister’s solution would be to make them pay for its losses. But that would be unfair to them; there is no reason why they should have to pay for the minister’s foibles. His foray into populism is a distortion of competition in the telecom market. Introducing private competitors in the telecom market is one of the most consumer-friendly things the government of India has done; OneIndia vitiates and weakens that measure.
Further, despite all his power and persuasion, the minister could make only BSNL introduce OneIndia. So it is only BSNL’s customers that can take advantage of it. Reliance introduced its own version of OneIndia some time back; but it is only for its own customers. Thus, this bounty is available only to its customers provided they call its other customers. Maran’s interference is dividing up the national telecom market into insulated markets of each operator. It reduces competition.
And what is good for the migrant worker is bad for the PCO operator. His earnings out of each call will fall from Rs 10-20 to Re 1. Even if his customers make calls ten hours a day and finish each call within a minute, his revenue will be Rs 600. He will keep only 10 per cent of it, or Rs 60. Few PCO operators will find it worthwhile to continue in business on such earnings. Soon BSNL will face pressure to increase PCOs’ share of their revenue. And even if it carries trunk calls free, many PCO operators will bleed. Maran has made one of India’s most characteristic small businesses uneconomic.
And finally, prices are not the minister’s business at all. For the past nine years, telecom tariffs have been overseen by TRAI. TRAI is the watchman of competition in the telecom market; it ensures that tariffs are neither too high nor predatory. Now that the minister has forced the public enterprise under his thumb to introduce a predatory tariff, TRAI will have a hard time coping with its consequences.

For all these reasons, Maran’s introduction of OneIndia is a bad idea. It is still not too much to hope that sense will dawn: that he will withdraw it, and let competition decide telecom tariffs. And whilst the chances are bleak, one can still hope that the council of ministers of which Maran is a member will persuade him out of the ill considered measure, for at least some of them are reputed to have considerable sense.