Saturday, December 12, 2015

PAKISTAN'S MOST SUCCESSFUL TERRORIST ORGANIZATION

FROM THE TELEGRAPH OF 25 OCTOBER 2006


The freedom fighter state


In the 1971 war, India deprived Pakistan of its eastern wing and took 100,000 prisoners. Zulfiqar Ali Khan Bhutto, Pakistan’s Prime Minister, had to go to Simla and sign a peace treaty before he got them back. It was a terrible humiliation, made worse by the fact that till the last moment, the Pakistani public had been told that Pakistan was winning the war. So the knives came out.
Bhutto was of the view that the incompetence of the army command was responsible for the defeat. The army’s view, on the other hand, was that it was Bhutto’s greed for power that deprived the elected Prime Minister, Mujibur Rehman, of power and precipitated the crisis. The generals tended to forget their own complicity in the imprisonment of Mujibur Rehman, but that is quite natural; everyone is inclined to forget one’s own mistakes and remember everyone else’s. Anyway, this difference of opinion led to a military coup in 1977. Yahya Khan unseated Bhutto and hanged him.
Just two years later, two events occurred that changed Pakistan’s fortunes. The first was the Islamic – read Shia – revolution in Iran which ended the reign of the Shah. The Shah was a friend of the US; the rebels made an enemy of the US by confining its embassy personnel. The revolution opened a gap in the wall that surrounded the USSR to the south. The USSR saw an opportunity and promoted a coup by friendly forces in Afghanistan.
In the cold war, every opportunity for the USSR was a threat to the US. The loss of Iran was bad enough; but just across the gulf from Iran was Saudi Arabia, America’s most important supplier of oil. A threat to it could not be countenanced. The US tried to rebuild the wall. It tried to organize insurgencies, and asked Saudi Arabia, which had become obscenely rich on account of the oil boom of the 1970s, to fund them. Nothing came of its attempts in Iran. Many Iranians had escaped to the west, but they were moneybags who had no popular support, and none of them could cause much worry to the regime in Iran. 
But Afghanistan was different. The USSR tried to create a unitary state out of what had always been a loose federation of tribes. Its friends were the northern tribes; their military intrusion to the south did nothing to make them friends. So there was civil war, from which somewhere between three and five million Afghans escaped to Pakistan.
In this mass of refugees, the CIA saw an opportunity. Since the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan was long, mountainous and sparsely populated, it was impossible to police, and people could slip across it easily. Amongst the emigrants, it should be possible to find enough sufferers to form a terrorist force. What they needed was arms, which the CIA could supply in abundance. But they had to be equipped, trained and controlled; for this the CIA enlisted Pakistan’s ISI. And they had to be financed; for this the CIA enlisted Saudi Arabia.
ISI had a problem. It had to organize clandestine attacks on Russians and their Afghan allies. But it could not enter Afghanistan, and hence could not monitor the effectiveness of the attacks. Everyone loved ISI’s money, but few relished the thought of creeping into Afghanistan and attacking the communists. So it was difficult to prevent impostors from pocketing ISI’s assistance and disappearing. The incentive system was adverse. So the ISI used motivation instead – the motivation of religious fanaticism. And since the money came from Saudi Arabia, the fanaticism had to be a Wahabi Sunni. So the ISI channeled the money and the arms through Sunni organizations – varying combinations of mosques, schools (Madrasas), and charities. And it used competition. It funded many organizations, and showered or withdrew its favours from time to time. This capricious patronage caused jealousy amongst the clients; organizations split and split again. This is why Pakistani terrorist organizations present such a welter of names.

Amongst the organizations was Jamaat-i-Islami (JI), which had a branch in Kashmir. The latter’s Amir, Maulana Saad-ud-Din, went from Saudi Arabia to Pakistan in 1983 and persuaded JI to apply the terror export model to Kashmir. With technical and material assistance from Harkat al-Jihad al-Islami, a Deobandi mercenary group operating in Afghanistan, training camps were organized in Occupied Kashmir. They were placed under the control of a new organization called Harkat-ul-Mujaheddin. Despite splits and internal squabbles, HM remains the largest terrorist organization operating in Kashmir. It claimed to have engaged the Indian army in 314 encounters in 2003 and killed 770 soldiers at the loss of 232 of its own terrorists. It is the principal handmaiden of ISI. Most of its commanders are Kashmiri. Its Amir, Syed Salahuddin, declared a ceasefire in 2000 and negotiated briefly with the Indian government; but he retreated when he was not supported by ISI. After 9/11, an offshoot of HM was suspected of having made two attempts on the life of Musharraf as well as a number of bomb attacks in Karachi. Pakistan banned it on 29 September 2001. The ban does not affect its members. But Indian army and police killed a number of its commanders in 2004. As a result, HM has recently been quiescent.