Wednesday, December 2, 2015

BUILD A BRIDGE TO SRI LANKA

India and Sri Lanka has complementary economies; both could benefit from integration. A bridge would be the most direct way of bringing them together. Ranil Wickremesinghe suggested this; a dozen years later, there is no sign of it. I wrote this in Business World of 22 September 2003.

Ranil’s vision

On 23 August, Ranil Wickremesinghe, the Prime Minister of Sri Lanka, gave a lecture in Madras which should have been heard by Atal Behari Vajpayee and his cabinet. He said that India and Sri Lanka shared a success; that after they became independent, both developed viable democratic systems – something few developing countries managed to do. And both share a failure: both failed to make their people rich, while others like East Asians succeeded. Free market reforms transformed China. Korea built up an economic powerhouse before instituting full-fledged democracy. Indonesia concentrated on raising economic performance and only then began to democratize. Vietnam is attracting large amounts of foreign investment while it remains one of the last communist bastions. Sri Lanka was held up as a model in the 1950s; countries like Malaysia and Singapore looked up to it. Today they have left it far behind.
The reversal has been brought about by the emergence of the international market. Increasingly, trade has broken national boundaries, and people in different countries are dealing with one another; the governments have nothing to do with it. This movement of goods, services, finance, even ideas across national frontiers has brought prosperity to the countries that took the opportunities it offered. Governments have to facilitate and encourage this flow if they want their people to prosper.
Sri Lanka and India can emerge as one of most dynamic regional markets in Asia if they integrate their economies. Wickremesinghe gave examples of tea, textiles and information technology where removal of barriers would benefit both countries.
Integration would be closest between Sri Lanka and South India. The two together, within an area of an hour’s flight time, offer tourists the greatest variety of beaches, mountains, ancient monuments, wild animals and natural beauty. Integration of the resources of both would raise incomes and employment, especially in rural areas.
Integrating the two economies will require better power, transport, communications. In infrastructure too, it makes sense to think regionally than nationally. A power grid stretching from Nepal to Sri Lanka would be far more efficient than a large number of fragmented segments.
Wickremesinghe mentioned a bridge between Rameshwaram and Talaimannar as one of the last steps in integration; it would vastly increase the flow of goods between the two economies, and help them emerge as a global marketing base.
“Let us build a common future from our common past,” Wickremesinghe said, “All it requires is the imagination, the leadership and the commitment to shake off the shackles of the past, bring peace to this part of the region to make our people rich.”
I was particularly touched by this appeal; Wickremesinghe put in a leader’s language what I have been pleading for for some years now. When I met him last May he seemed a bit embattled. The friction between him and Chandrika Kumaratunga, the Sri Lankan president, must have taken its toll. I asked him how a well established pillar of Sri Lankan society, editor of one of its leading English dailies, could think of striking his roots and going to settle down in Canada. He said that salaries in Sri Lanka were low. So they are in India; but I doubt if the editor of BusinessWorld would think of leaving India. At this level, most Indians would find their lives and careers rewarding enough to stay in India; they could never find equally exciting careers in other societies.
People do not mind poverty so much. They, of course, suffer if they are destitute, or if their living standards fall. But the level they are used to does not hurt them. But their expectations matter much more. If they expect life to get better, they will bear a lot; if they expect it to get worse, the worry and depression will pull them down.

That level of hope depends on whether there are peace, security and economic growth. India and Sri Lanka have not had enough of these; Ranil is saying to us, let us achieve these together, it is much easier to do it together than separately.