Tuesday, September 30, 2014

FEAR OF CHEAP LABOUR

I spent an academic year in Stanford in 1999-2000, and had an opportunity to watch the  Californian information technology boom at close quarters. The demand it created for Indian technology programmers did much to improve the image of India, and made Indians proud. But in California, there were many misgivings about the "unfair" competition from cheap Indian workers. I wrote on them in Business Standard of 30 October 1999.


BODYSHOPPING TODAY


The Indian software industry heavily depends on body-shopping – on sending out software engineers on contract to fix customers’ problems on the spot. A high proportion of these “bodies” find jobs abroad – with the customers or with other software companies – and emigrate. This is how a large community of Indians has emerged in the Silicon Valley.
This is quite a recent phenomenon. Till the 1980s, the American immigration regulations made no provision for temporary workers. Either people came on visitors’ visas, in which case they were not supposed to work; or they went into a process which would lead to their settling down in America. They might get an immigrant visa in their own country, or they might come to America as students or dependents, get a green card, and eventually apply for an immigrant visa. The latter route is still very popular amongst Indians. But neither route allowed for a worker who came to the States for a few months and went back.
What led initially to the import of Indian engineers was not their technical prowess, but a severe labour shortage in the Silicon Valley software industry. The cost of computing power fell by magnitudes in the 1980s as chips became cheaper. The hardware industry exploited this cost reduction by manufacturing in bulk “personal computers” – computers for individual use which had limited computing power and standardized software such as Wordstar and Supercalc. The PC revolution  changed the structure of the industry. IBM, the towering giant of the mainframe days, went down, and manufacturers of cheap PCs, such as Dell and Acer, rapidly captured the market for small machines.
The PC revolution affected offices as well; secretaries’ lives became enormously easier, paper wastage went down, and electronic storage began to replace files. Ultimately, of course, it threatened the occupation of the secretary itself; today, many office workers do their own writing, correspondence, scheduling etc on the computer themselves.
But the PC did not really meet the internal needs of big businesses – needs of internal communication and coordination. These tasks still continued to be done by means of meetings and memos. The technology that created the PC and its software could meet these needs as well – all that was needed was greater computing power, common servers, and new communication software. This has really been the growth sector in the 1990s. The products it has spawned have far outgrown the corporate requirements and have burgeoned into the internet of today.
But early on, by the late 1980s, it was outstripping the supply of engineers in the Silicon Valley; that is when the software manufacturers started looking for new sources of manpower. At that time there were no satellite links between India and the US; internet was in its infancy, and had not reached the Indian shores. The only way of using Indian manpower was through bodyshopping.
So the software industry amongst others started asking for a new kind of visa which would be neither an immigrant nor a visitor visa, but would be a visa for a short-term employee or consultant. This led US Congress in 1990 to create a new class of visa – H-1B – for workers engaged for up to three years. The visa could be extended for another three years. It does not cover only software engineers; even models coming to India for frequent assignments use them. The initial quota of 65,000 a year proved inadequate; last year President Clinton raised it to 115,000. A half of the entrants come from India, the rest from China, Canada, the Philippines, Taiwan, Korea, Japan, Pakistan, Russia and Britain.
Now the US Congress has appointed a committee to go into the subject of H1-B visas. It held hearings in Santa Clara in the last week of September. It will go on to visit Boston, New York and Houston. It may even travel to India and Israel. It has been given till October 2000 to report.
Many witnesses who testified to the committee were extremely hostile to the H1-B visa holders. They compared it to indentured labour and to the import of seasonal farm workers from Mexico. A 57-year old worker said that he kept one pair of polished shoes for job interviews, and “they have holes worn into the soles, that’s how much I’ve pounded the pavement. He said that employers took young foreigners in preference to older native workers. “There is no American dream for many, many US workers who have been displaced, folded and mutilated by this government,” he said. A San Jose resident in his 70s, who has four degrees including a Ph D in chemistry, said, “Anyone who over 50 has a serious employment problem in this valley; maybe 40.” He had been looking for work for 2 years without success. A software engineer, 48, said that there was only one person in his company who was older than he; the average age of engineers in the company was 25 years. He said he had taken many extension classes to stay up-to-date, but had still been marginalized.

This committee will influence the decision on whether Indian software engineers continue to find employment in the Silicon valley or not. Knowing our government, I doubt if it will bother to meet and educate the committee; it may even refuse the committee a visa. So the fate of the Indian engineers hangs on the strength of their employers here – on how strong a case they can make for the engineers’ continued employment. The employers who testified said that the preference for youth in the industry was inevitable; the product cycles in the industry had declined from three years till the mid-1990s to 1 year now, speed was essential, and hence young people were indispensable. And competition was so intense that there was no alternative to foreign engineers. These arguments may carry the day; whether they do or not will decide the fates of thousands of Indian software engineers.